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Rolling over Futures

Not every provider offers a continuous future for the instruments with which one can trade. Sometimes the data offered is that of the still valid expiration dates, i.e.: those still being traded

This is not so helpful when it comes to backtesting because the data is scattered over several different instruments which additionally … overlap in time.

Being able to properly join the data of those instruments, from the past, into a continuous stream alleviates the pain. The problem:

  • There is no law as to how best join the different expiration dates into a continuous future

Some literature, courtesy of SierraChart at:

The RollOver Data Feed

backtrader has added with 1.8.10.99 the possibility to join futures’ data from different expiration dates into a continuous future:

import backtrader as bt

cerebro = bt.Cerebro()
data0 = bt.feeds.MyFeed(dataname='Expiry0')
data1 = bt.feeds.MyFeed(dataname='Expiry1')
...
dataN = bt.feeds.MyFeed(dataname='ExpiryN')

drollover = cerebro.rolloverdata(data0, data1, ..., dataN, name='MyRoll', **kwargs)

cerebro.run()

Note

The possible **kwargs are explained below

It can also be done by directly accessing the RollOver feed (which is helpful if subclassing is done):

import backtrader as bt

cerebro = bt.Cerebro()
data0 = bt.feeds.MyFeed(dataname='Expiry0')
data1 = bt.feeds.MyFeed(dataname='Expiry1')
...
dataN = bt.feeds.MyFeed(dataname='ExpiryN')

drollover = bt.feeds.RollOver(data0, data1, ..., dataN, dataname='MyRoll', **kwargs)
cerebro.adddata(drollover)

cerebro.run()

Note

The possible **kwargs are explained below

Note

When using RollOver the name is assigned using dataname. This is the standard parameter used for all data feeds to pass the name/ticker. In this case it is reused to assign a common name to the complete set of rolled over futures.

In the case of cerebro.rolloverdata, the name is assigned to a feed using name, which is already one named argument of that method

Bottomline:

  • Data Feeds are created as usual but ARE NOT added to cerebro

  • Those data feeds are given as input to bt.feeds.RollOver

    A dataname is also given, mostly for identification purposes.

  • This roll over data feed is then added to cerebro

Options for the Roll-Over

Two parameters are provided to control the roll-over process

  • checkdate (default: None)

    This must be a callable with the following signature:

    checkdate(dt, d):
    

    Where:

    • dt is a datetime.datetime object

    • d is the current data feed for the active future

    Expected Return Values:

    • True: as long as the callable returns this, a switchover can happen to the next future

      If a commodity expires on the 3rd Friday of March, checkdate could return True for the entire week in which the expiration takes place.

    • False: the expiration cannot take place

  • checkcondition (default: None)

    Note

    This will only be called if checkdate has returned True

    If None this will evaluate to True (execute roll over) internally

    Else this must be a callable with this signature:

    checkcondition(d0, d1)
    

    Where:

    • d0 is the current data feed for the active future

    • d1 is the data feed for the next expiration

    Expected Return Values:

    • True: roll-over to the next future

      Following with the example from checkdate, this could say that the roll-over can only happen if the volume from d0 is already less than the volume from d1

    • False: the expiration cannot take place

Subclassing RollOver

If specifying the callables isn’t enough, there is always the chance to subclass RollOver. The methods to subclass:

  • def _checkdate(self, dt, d):

    Which matches the signature of the parameter of the same name above. The expected return values are also the saame.

  • def _checkcondition(self, d0, d1)

    Which matches the signature of the parameter of the same name above. The expected return values are also the saame.

Let’s Roll

Note

The default behavior in the sample is to use cerebro.rolloverdata. This can be changed by passing the -no-cerebro flag. In this case the sample uses RollOver and cerebro.adddata

The implementation includes a sample which is available in the backtrader sources.

Futures concatenation

Let’s start by looking at a pure concatenation by running the sample with no arguments.

$ ./rollover.py

Len, Name, RollName, Datetime, WeekDay, Open, High, Low, Close, Volume, OpenInterest
0001, FESX, 199FESXM4, 2013-09-26, Thu, 2829.0, 2843.0, 2829.0, 2843.0, 3.0, 1000.0
0002, FESX, 199FESXM4, 2013-09-27, Fri, 2842.0, 2842.0, 2832.0, 2841.0, 16.0, 1101.0
...
0176, FESX, 199FESXM4, 2014-06-20, Fri, 3315.0, 3324.0, 3307.0, 3322.0, 134777.0, 520978.0
0177, FESX, 199FESXU4, 2014-06-23, Mon, 3301.0, 3305.0, 3265.0, 3285.0, 730211.0, 3003692.0
...
0241, FESX, 199FESXU4, 2014-09-19, Fri, 3287.0, 3308.0, 3286.0, 3294.0, 144692.0, 566249.0
0242, FESX, 199FESXZ4, 2014-09-22, Mon, 3248.0, 3263.0, 3231.0, 3240.0, 582077.0, 2976624.0
...
0306, FESX, 199FESXZ4, 2014-12-19, Fri, 3196.0, 3202.0, 3131.0, 3132.0, 226415.0, 677924.0
0307, FESX, 199FESXH5, 2014-12-22, Mon, 3151.0, 3177.0, 3139.0, 3168.0, 547095.0, 2952769.0
...
0366, FESX, 199FESXH5, 2015-03-20, Fri, 3680.0, 3698.0, 3672.0, 3695.0, 147632.0, 887205.0
0367, FESX, 199FESXM5, 2015-03-23, Mon, 3654.0, 3655.0, 3608.0, 3618.0, 802344.0, 3521988.0
...
0426, FESX, 199FESXM5, 2015-06-18, Thu, 3398.0, 3540.0, 3373.0, 3465.0, 1173246.0, 811805.0
0427, FESX, 199FESXM5, 2015-06-19, Fri, 3443.0, 3499.0, 3440.0, 3488.0, 104096.0, 516792.0

This uses cerebro.chaindata and the result should be clear:

  • Whenever a data feed is over the next one takes over

  • This happens always between a Friday and Monday: the futures in the samples always expire on Friday

Futures roll-over with no checks

Let’s execute with --rollover

$ ./rollover.py --rollover --plot

Len, Name, RollName, Datetime, WeekDay, Open, High, Low, Close, Volume, OpenInterest
0001, FESX, 199FESXM4, 2013-09-26, Thu, 2829.0, 2843.0, 2829.0, 2843.0, 3.0, 1000.0
0002, FESX, 199FESXM4, 2013-09-27, Fri, 2842.0, 2842.0, 2832.0, 2841.0, 16.0, 1101.0
...
0176, FESX, 199FESXM4, 2014-06-20, Fri, 3315.0, 3324.0, 3307.0, 3322.0, 134777.0, 520978.0
0177, FESX, 199FESXU4, 2014-06-23, Mon, 3301.0, 3305.0, 3265.0, 3285.0, 730211.0, 3003692.0
...
0241, FESX, 199FESXU4, 2014-09-19, Fri, 3287.0, 3308.0, 3286.0, 3294.0, 144692.0, 566249.0
0242, FESX, 199FESXZ4, 2014-09-22, Mon, 3248.0, 3263.0, 3231.0, 3240.0, 582077.0, 2976624.0
...
0306, FESX, 199FESXZ4, 2014-12-19, Fri, 3196.0, 3202.0, 3131.0, 3132.0, 226415.0, 677924.0
0307, FESX, 199FESXH5, 2014-12-22, Mon, 3151.0, 3177.0, 3139.0, 3168.0, 547095.0, 2952769.0
...
0366, FESX, 199FESXH5, 2015-03-20, Fri, 3680.0, 3698.0, 3672.0, 3695.0, 147632.0, 887205.0
0367, FESX, 199FESXM5, 2015-03-23, Mon, 3654.0, 3655.0, 3608.0, 3618.0, 802344.0, 3521988.0
...
0426, FESX, 199FESXM5, 2015-06-18, Thu, 3398.0, 3540.0, 3373.0, 3465.0, 1173246.0, 811805.0
0427, FESX, 199FESXM5, 2015-06-19, Fri, 3443.0, 3499.0, 3440.0, 3488.0, 104096.0, 516792.0

The same behavior. It can clearly be seen that contract changes are being made on the 3rd Friday of either Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec.

But this is mostly WRONG. backtrader cannot know it, but the author knows that the EuroStoxx 50 futures stop trading at 12:00 CET. So even if there is a daily bar for the 3rd Friday of the expiration month, the change is happening too late.

image

Changing during the Week

A checkdate callable is implemented in the sample, which calculates the date of expiration for the currently active contract.

checkdate will allow a roll over as soon as the week of the 3rd Friday of the month is reached (it may be Tuesday if for example Monday is a bank holiday)

$ ./rollover.py --rollover --checkdate --plot

Len, Name, RollName, Datetime, WeekDay, Open, High, Low, Close, Volume, OpenInterest
0001, FESX, 199FESXM4, 2013-09-26, Thu, 2829.0, 2843.0, 2829.0, 2843.0, 3.0, 1000.0
0002, FESX, 199FESXM4, 2013-09-27, Fri, 2842.0, 2842.0, 2832.0, 2841.0, 16.0, 1101.0
...
0171, FESX, 199FESXM4, 2014-06-13, Fri, 3283.0, 3292.0, 3253.0, 3276.0, 734907.0, 2715357.0
0172, FESX, 199FESXU4, 2014-06-16, Mon, 3261.0, 3275.0, 3252.0, 3262.0, 180608.0, 844486.0
...
0236, FESX, 199FESXU4, 2014-09-12, Fri, 3245.0, 3247.0, 3220.0, 3232.0, 650314.0, 2726874.0
0237, FESX, 199FESXZ4, 2014-09-15, Mon, 3209.0, 3224.0, 3203.0, 3221.0, 153448.0, 983793.0
...
0301, FESX, 199FESXZ4, 2014-12-12, Fri, 3127.0, 3143.0, 3038.0, 3042.0, 1409834.0, 2934179.0
0302, FESX, 199FESXH5, 2014-12-15, Mon, 3041.0, 3089.0, 2963.0, 2980.0, 329896.0, 904053.0
...
0361, FESX, 199FESXH5, 2015-03-13, Fri, 3657.0, 3680.0, 3627.0, 3670.0, 867678.0, 3499116.0
0362, FESX, 199FESXM5, 2015-03-16, Mon, 3594.0, 3641.0, 3588.0, 3629.0, 250445.0, 1056099.0
...
0426, FESX, 199FESXM5, 2015-06-18, Thu, 3398.0, 3540.0, 3373.0, 3465.0, 1173246.0, 811805.0
0427, FESX, 199FESXM5, 2015-06-19, Fri, 3443.0, 3499.0, 3440.0, 3488.0, 104096.0, 516792.0

Much better. The roll over is now happening 5 days before. A quick visual inspection of the Len indices show it. For example:

  • 199FESXM4 to 199FESXU4 happens at len 171-172. Without checkdate it happened at 176-177

The roll over is happening on the Monday before the 3rd Friday of the expiration month.

image

Adding a volume condition

Even with the improvement, the situation can be further improved in that not only the date but also de negotiated volume will be taken into account. Do switch when the new contract trades more volume than the currently active one.

Let’s add a checkcondition to the mix and run.

$ ./rollover.py --rollover --checkdate --checkcondition --plot

Len, Name, RollName, Datetime, WeekDay, Open, High, Low, Close, Volume, OpenInterest
0001, FESX, 199FESXM4, 2013-09-26, Thu, 2829.0, 2843.0, 2829.0, 2843.0, 3.0, 1000.0
0002, FESX, 199FESXM4, 2013-09-27, Fri, 2842.0, 2842.0, 2832.0, 2841.0, 16.0, 1101.0
...
0175, FESX, 199FESXM4, 2014-06-19, Thu, 3307.0, 3330.0, 3300.0, 3321.0, 717979.0, 759122.0
0176, FESX, 199FESXU4, 2014-06-20, Fri, 3309.0, 3318.0, 3290.0, 3298.0, 711627.0, 2957641.0
...
0240, FESX, 199FESXU4, 2014-09-18, Thu, 3249.0, 3275.0, 3243.0, 3270.0, 846600.0, 803202.0
0241, FESX, 199FESXZ4, 2014-09-19, Fri, 3273.0, 3293.0, 3250.0, 3252.0, 1042294.0, 3021305.0
...
0305, FESX, 199FESXZ4, 2014-12-18, Thu, 3095.0, 3175.0, 3085.0, 3172.0, 1309574.0, 889112.0
0306, FESX, 199FESXH5, 2014-12-19, Fri, 3195.0, 3200.0, 3106.0, 3147.0, 1329040.0, 2964538.0
...
0365, FESX, 199FESXH5, 2015-03-19, Thu, 3661.0, 3691.0, 3646.0, 3668.0, 1271122.0, 1054639.0
0366, FESX, 199FESXM5, 2015-03-20, Fri, 3607.0, 3664.0, 3595.0, 3646.0, 1182235.0, 3407004.0
...
0426, FESX, 199FESXM5, 2015-06-18, Thu, 3398.0, 3540.0, 3373.0, 3465.0, 1173246.0, 811805.0
0427, FESX, 199FESXM5, 2015-06-19, Fri, 3443.0, 3499.0, 3440.0, 3488.0, 104096.0, 516792.0

Even better. We have moved the switch date to the Thursday before the well known 3rd Friday of the expiration month

This should come to no surprise because the expiring future trades a lot less hours on that Friday and the volume must be small.

Note

The roll over date could have also been set to that Thursday by the checkdate callable. But that isn’t the point of the sample.

image

Concluding

backtrader includes now a flexible mechanism to allow rolling over futures to create a continuous stream.

Sample Usage

$ ./rollover.py --help
usage: rollover.py [-h] [--no-cerebro] [--rollover] [--checkdate]
                   [--checkcondition] [--plot [kwargs]]

Sample for Roll Over of Futures

optional arguments:
  -h, --help            show this help message and exit
  --no-cerebro          Use RollOver Directly (default: False)
  --rollover
  --checkdate           Change during expiration week (default: False)
  --checkcondition      Change when a given condition is met (default: False)
  --plot [kwargs], -p [kwargs]
                        Plot the read data applying any kwargs passed For
                        example: --plot style="candle" (to plot candles)
                        (default: None)

Sample Code

from __future__ import (absolute_import, division, print_function,
                        unicode_literals)


import argparse
import bisect
import calendar
import datetime

import backtrader as bt


class TheStrategy(bt.Strategy):
    def start(self):
        header = ['Len', 'Name', 'RollName', 'Datetime', 'WeekDay', 'Open',
                  'High', 'Low', 'Close', 'Volume', 'OpenInterest']
        print(', '.join(header))

    def next(self):
        txt = list()
        txt.append('%04d' % len(self.data0))
        txt.append('{}'.format(self.data0._dataname))
        # Internal knowledge ... current expiration in use is in _d
        txt.append('{}'.format(self.data0._d._dataname))
        txt.append('{}'.format(self.data.datetime.date()))
        txt.append('{}'.format(self.data.datetime.date().strftime('%a')))
        txt.append('{}'.format(self.data.open[0]))
        txt.append('{}'.format(self.data.high[0]))
        txt.append('{}'.format(self.data.low[0]))
        txt.append('{}'.format(self.data.close[0]))
        txt.append('{}'.format(self.data.volume[0]))
        txt.append('{}'.format(self.data.openinterest[0]))
        print(', '.join(txt))


def checkdate(dt, d):
    # Check if the date is in the week where the 3rd friday of Mar/Jun/Sep/Dec

    # EuroStoxx50 expiry codes: MY
    # M -> H, M, U, Z (Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec)
    # Y -> 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 -> year code. 5 -> 2015
    MONTHS = dict(H=3, M=6, U=9, Z=12)

    M = MONTHS[d._dataname[-2]]

    centuria, year = divmod(dt.year, 10)
    decade = centuria * 10

    YCode = int(d._dataname[-1])
    Y = decade + YCode
    if Y < dt.year:  # Example: year 2019 ... YCode is 0 for 2020
        Y += 10

    exp_day = 21 - (calendar.weekday(Y, M, 1) + 2) % 7
    exp_dt = datetime.datetime(Y, M, exp_day)

    # Get the year, week numbers
    exp_year, exp_week, _ = exp_dt.isocalendar()
    dt_year, dt_week, _ = dt.isocalendar()

    # print('dt {} vs {} exp_dt'.format(dt, exp_dt))
    # print('dt_week {} vs {} exp_week'.format(dt_week, exp_week))

    # can switch if in same week
    return (dt_year, dt_week) == (exp_year, exp_week)


def checkvolume(d0, d1):
    return d0.volume[0] < d1.volume[0]  # Switch if volume from d0 < d1


def runstrat(args=None):
    args = parse_args(args)

    cerebro = bt.Cerebro()

    fcodes = ['199FESXM4', '199FESXU4', '199FESXZ4', '199FESXH5', '199FESXM5']
    store = bt.stores.VChartFile()
    ffeeds = [store.getdata(dataname=x) for x in fcodes]

    rollkwargs = dict()
    if args.checkdate:
        rollkwargs['checkdate'] = checkdate

        if args.checkcondition:
            rollkwargs['checkcondition'] = checkvolume

    if not args.no_cerebro:
        if args.rollover:
            cerebro.rolloverdata(name='FESX', *ffeeds, **rollkwargs)
        else:
            cerebro.chaindata(name='FESX', *ffeeds)
    else:
        drollover = bt.feeds.RollOver(*ffeeds, dataname='FESX', **rollkwargs)
        cerebro.adddata(drollover)

    cerebro.addstrategy(TheStrategy)
    cerebro.run(stdstats=False)

    if args.plot:
        pkwargs = dict(style='bar')
        if args.plot is not True:  # evals to True but is not True
            npkwargs = eval('dict(' + args.plot + ')')  # args were passed
            pkwargs.update(npkwargs)

        cerebro.plot(**pkwargs)


def parse_args(pargs=None):

    parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(
        formatter_class=argparse.ArgumentDefaultsHelpFormatter,
        description='Sample for Roll Over of Futures')

    parser.add_argument('--no-cerebro', required=False, action='store_true',
                        help='Use RollOver Directly')

    parser.add_argument('--rollover', required=False, action='store_true')

    parser.add_argument('--checkdate', required=False, action='store_true',
                        help='Change during expiration week')

    parser.add_argument('--checkcondition', required=False,
                        action='store_true',
                        help='Change when a given condition is met')

    # Plot options
    parser.add_argument('--plot', '-p', nargs='?', required=False,
                        metavar='kwargs', const=True,
                        help=('Plot the read data applying any kwargs passed\n'
                              '\n'
                              'For example:\n'
                              '\n'
                              '  --plot style="candle" (to plot candles)\n'))

    if pargs is not None:
        return parser.parse_args(pargs)

    return parser.parse_args()


if __name__ == '__main__':
    runstrat()